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	<title>Telecom Expense Management Blog - TEMptation &#187; Ipod</title>
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		<title>Mobile device vendors shift focus to software</title>
		<link>http://www.telecomexpensemanagementblog.com/analysts/mobile-device-vendors-shift-focus-to-software</link>
		<comments>http://www.telecomexpensemanagementblog.com/analysts/mobile-device-vendors-shift-focus-to-software#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Nov 2008 08:09:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Ron van Valkengoed</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hardware]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blackberry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Informa Mobile Devices]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ipod]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.telecomexpensemanagementblog.com/?p=138</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Industry analyst Informa released some figures showing that mobile phone sales is forecasted to slow significantly in developed markets and will not exceed 2% CAGR, smartphones are predicted to represent the major growth area. Informa thinks revenues from smartphone sales will represent over 55% of total market value in North America, Western Europe and Japan. [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Industry analyst <a href="http://www.informatm.com/itmgcontent/icoms/s/press-releases/20017588310.html;jsessionid=9838692CB2E98293F9AE31762716BE0E" target="_blank">Informa</a> released some figures showing that mobile phone sales is forecasted to slow significantly in developed markets and will not exceed 2% CAGR, smartphones are predicted to represent the major growth area. Informa thinks revenues from smartphone sales will represent over 55% of total market value in North America, Western Europe and Japan. Looking forward, it is becoming clear that, in these regions, handset vendors can no longer rely on mobile phone sales to sustain growth. <strong>They have to look at content creation and service offerings and product differentiation will increasingly shift from hardware to software.</strong></p>
<p><span id="more-138"></span></p>
<p>Market leader Nokia understands what services offerings consumers like best, a <a href="http://www.slideshare.net/nokiaconversations/smartphone360-survey-presentation" target="_blank">recent Nokia</a> study on device usage shows that Email has really taken off in 2008 and demonstrates increased use of <strong>Music, Maps Browsing and Social Networking</strong>. While devices are becoming more powerful, hardware vendors push services and end users more and more use the services available to them.</p>
<p>An example of this is the fact that the MySpace <strong>Blackberry App</strong> was downloaded <a href="http://www.mobileindustryreview.com/2008/11/myspace_blackberry_app_downloaded_400000_times_in_7_days.html" target="_blank"><strong>400,000 times<strong> in 7 days</strong></strong></a>. This is<strong> ~2% of all 19 million Blackberry users</strong> globally. This presents some real proof that the Blackberry user does actually want to do more than ping emails about the place.</p>
<p>The greatest example of this trend is the <strong>Apple App Store</strong> with an astonishing <a href="http://venturebeat.com/2008/09/09/apple-app-store-over-100000000-downloads-in-60-days" target="_blank"><strong>100.000.000 downloads</strong></a><strong> in 60 days</strong>. Assuming <a href="http://ccbn.tenkwizard.com/xml/download.php?format=PDF&amp;ipage=5956638" target="_blank"><strong>~14 m iPhone users</strong></a>, this is an amazing <strong>~7 downloads per iPhone user</strong>. Taking a neutral business case of app. revenue <a href="http://venturebeat.com/2008/06/11/analyst-theres-a-great-future-in-iphone-apps/" target="_blank"><strong>10 $/user per year</strong></a>, iPhone Average Sales Price (ASP) of <strong>158 $</strong> (See Apple Annual Report), 30% Apples revenue cut, and a write off over 24 months….this nets to 10 / (158/2) * 30% = <strong>4% additional revenue</strong> beyond selling the iPhone. This doesn’t sound as a lot…….but it is a good starting point…..bear in mind the iPhone is also a platform for Music, and Apple has grown this to <strong>36% additional revenue around the iPod.</strong></p>
<p>Of course all supply chain actors (operators, content providers, device manufacturers,…) are watching this new revenue stream and will try to claim their share….it will be interesting to see how this evolves over time.</p>
<p>What does this mean for TEM and the Enterprise?  This is another example of how adoption of consumer services will find its way into the enterprise leading to interesting questions around how to deal with private versus business, security risks, escalating cost of mobile data, escalating end user support cost around consumer related questions, etc…….</p>
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